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Responding to Ireland's "no": Public opinion must see that the treaty underpins our diversity

Autumn 2008

Irish voters’ rejection of the Lisbon treaty reflects Europe’s difficult debate of how best we can reconcile democracy and diversity. Some see the diversity issue primarily in terms of the treatment of migrants who have to contend with xenophobia and racism. Others see it in terms of the coexistence of different groups with different customs and religions as well as the integration, and by extension include the problem of terrorism. But the issue relating to democracy and diversity that I see as crucial is the relationship within the EU between the supranational and the national; in other words, how can we preserve diversity while also pursuing the common aims of the people of Europe?

It is a commonplace that the European Union accepts the diversity of Europe’s peoples, with all their cultural, linguistic, regional and national distinctions. Yet, the Irish referendum has demonstrated that the prevailing mood is nowadays quite different. The rejection of the treaty illustrated voters’ fears that further integration will inevitably spell the end of diversity. These are unfounded anxieties, because in fact the reverse is true. The best way to protect Europe’s diversity is to support the EU’s continuing development because a stronger European Union will mean that Europeans can tackle their problems more effectively.

 MATTERS OF OPINION


Ireland’s missing voters – who abstained and why

Two-thirds (67%) of those questioned in a Eurobarometer survey of 2,000 people conducted immediately after Ireland’s recent referendum on the Lisbon treaty said the “no” campaign on the treaty had been more convincing, and this view was even held by a majority of the “yes” voters (57%). More than half those polled said that they only decided whether to vote “yes” or “no” in the final weeks of the campaign and 15% decided on the day itself.

Over half those who did not vote in the referendum said this was because they didn’t understand the issues, and more than half of these (54%) said they would have liked more information from the Irish government.

Ireland’s young voters were especially reluctant to participate in the referendum; more than twice as many in the 18-24 year-old age group abstained than among the over-55s (64% compared to 31%). Fewer than half of those interviewed who were students or unemployed had voted (40 and 49%, respectively), compared to a higher-than-average turnout among the self-employed (61%) and retired people (67%).

There was a marked difference in voting between age groups: nearly two-thirds (65%) of young people aged 18-24 voted “no” in the referendum, compared with fewer than half (42%) of the over-55s.





http://www.gallupworldpoll.com/ 

Like earlier treaties, the premise of the Lisbon treaty is that unity is the best protector of diversity. The Union will always retain its member states’ distinctive national flavours because the member governments themselves determine the red lines that must not be crossed. When collective interests are being defined, it is the interests of the nation state that are predominant, and that safeguard has been maintained through successive treaties by the community model.

Although the Lisbon treaty therefore satisfactorily addressed the whole diversity question, we can nevertheless expect increasing pressure on the fault line separating supranational and the national interests for a variety of economic and social reasons. Unresolved problems that include disputes between member states, and the need for the Union to find new solutions seem very likely to intensify people’s doubts about whether we’ve got the right balance between democracy and diversity.

The emergence of shared values has become central to the EU experience; a shared path has been built on member states’ different histories, experiences, references and symbols. The result is a European Union whose supranational content is common to the citizens of all its member states. That leads us to the question of whether or not we Europeans yet have shared political affiliations. It’s an ongoing quest and a vitally important one because it’s the only way the nations of Europe can remain authors of their own identities while avoiding conflict with the identities of others.

Public debate is the key to creating shared political affiliations. It can clarify which aspects of diversity are in need of protection, and it can help determine how that protection can be achieved. Debate can thus be a motivating force that creates common expectations, makes our shared interests more apparent and helps to further shape Europe’s collective identity.

Economic and Monetary Union offers a good example of how our success in resolving the problems that surrounded the common currency created a broader awareness of many other issues relating to the currency. There is now a likely Europe-wide debate on whether the euro contributes to inflation, whether its high value puts European exports at risk and whether the interest rates set by the European Central Bank are facilitating home-buyers. All of which goes to show that a forum for debate emerges automatically when a common policy exists and issues arise, that are of concern to the public.

The example of the euro also underlines that progress towards a more democratic and united Europe does not result from grand plans for the future, but rather from specific solutions to common issues. EMU and the Schengen Agreement, coupled with the common foreign and defence policies identified in the new treaty, are mapping out new ways to respect and transcend national identities. They are initiatives that ensure union in diversity, and they also generate a European public forum. Such joint efforts, consciously fostered by the European Union, will gradually weave a unifying web carrying the integration project further forward.

The degree to which we Europeans can maintain our diversity will depend on the progress we make towards greater unification, the creation of a European public forum and the deepening of our democracy. The relationship between the supranational and the national can be developed creatively so long as our joint efforts tackle real problems of concern to Europe’s citizens. And that in turn is why the Lisbon treaty is such an important next step; it would allow the Union to become more effective, both by giving it the means to deal with its existing problems, and by promoting the sort of common endeavours that will enable us to progress further in the years ahead.



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The Summer 2010 issue of Europe's World looks at a number of policy areas where that lesson must be borne firmly in mind by today's decisionmakers. The global economic recession has laid bare a range of issues that need to be addressed very promptly before they develop further and become difficulties of a very different magnitude. It has also accentuated long-term trends to which Europe has so far failed to respond.

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What do YOU think are the key policy problems that Europe must resolve? What ideas need a Europe-wide airing? This section is open to your contributions.

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