THE DEVELOPING WORLD

Saving the Millennium Development Goals means scrapping the CAP

Autumn 2010
Half way through their 10 year timetable for meeting the Millennium Development Goals the G8 countries seem as far away as ever. Former Dutch Development Minister Eveline Herfkens urges Europe to take the lead on reducing global poverty by reforming its Common Agricultural Policy
The smoke screen of recycling old commitments to distract attention from the G8 nations’ failure to increase overall aid that they promised at Gleneagles in 2005 is a sham. The world’s richest countries have been wiggling out of their aid commitments by pledging fuzzy numbers in the billions for individual Millennium Development Goals, (MDGs), one at a time, but are falling far short of their ambitious target. They have also done nothing to enhance developing countries’ prospects in trade.

With only five of the 10 years still to go, urgent action is needed to get back on track to achieve the MDGs. The developing countries face the longest “to-do list.”, if only because it is their primary responsibility to achieve the goals. The run-up to this year’s UN Summit in September focused a lot of attention and energy on their part of the job.

 EW BACKGROUND BRIEFING

 


Now the calls are for
a “development-friendly” CAP

 

For Europe to realign the Common Agricultural Policy with its development goals will involve politics as much as policy. If they cut import tariffs and export subsidies, EU leaders will also need to allay voters’ worries about food prices, farmers’ welfare and rural conservation.

To open up European markets, the tariffs imposed on developing countries' agricultural produce would need to be reduced to the much lower levels imposed on rich countries. So far, tariff exemption programmes often constitute a form of protectionism because of complex eligibility requirements and measures that exclude many categories of produce. These could be made fairer by easing punitive “rules of origin” and reducing tariffs for processed goods, both of which discourage developing countries from boosting their economies by adding value to raw materials. Developing countries whose economies are built around preferential trade schemes would also need to be compensated when preferences are gradually removed.

Defenders of recent CAP reforms point to the “decoupling” of farm subsidies from levels of production so as to end overproduction. But many EU countries are still allowed to keep a high share of “coupled” subsidies, and “decoupled” subsidies based on input use or land area still favour largescale producers and therefore drive up European agricultural production.

The overall level of CAP spending continues to rise, and subsidies help keep food prices down in Europe. But CAP critics say EU taxpayers pay out more in subsidies than they would have to spend in extra food costs in a subsidy-free EU. If farm export subsidies were to go, food prices would also rise in the developing world,but a number of studies now suggest that this would hurt the poor only in the short-term, and then only where fewer than half the population lives in rural areas. In the average developing country, about 75% of poor people are rural.

CAP reform supporters emphasise that its subsidies protect Europe's farmers and the rural environment. But subsidies in fact favour large agribusiness rather than poor farmers, and may even damage rural biodiversity by favouring monocultures and the exploitation of marginal land.

Backers of a “development-friendly" CAP say it would redirect money into a genuine scheme of phased payments designed to help poorer farmers adjust to a subsidy-free world. And they argue that it would redirect money to the EU aid budget to help the developing world cope with the initial rise in food prices.
 

It is time to remind ourselves of the commitments we in Europe made, encompassed in the eighth goal of more and better aid. Unlike past UN Summits on development where Europe was a leader, a lack of leadership did not bode well for this year’s summit. EU member states have been falling behind on their agreed aid commitments;and,calling on others to play their part, weakened the EU Council’s position for the Summit..

But we also promised to change the rules of international trade so as to allow a level playing field for developing countries to lift themselves out of poverty by increasing their exports to our rich consumer markets, and thereby generating new jobs and more income. From the perspective of the first of the MDGs – halving the number of poor people in the world –, agriculture is the most important sector of all. Two-thirds of the world’s poor live in rural areas and depend on agricultural activities. Yet they will be unable to lift themselves out of poverty as long as Europe's agriculture policies not only limit their exports but also undermine their ability to compete in their own home markets.

Developing countries' exports really matter if the MDGs' poverty reduction efforts are to succeed, and that includes agricultural exports. Households that can produce exportable crops are less likely to be poor than those not involved in export markets. Research suggests that a doubling of the developing world’s export participation would reduce poverty by 13%.

Reform of the EU's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) is essential not just for this but to ensure that many of the other MDG actions yield results. More than 30 years ago, when enlargement of the European Community to include Greece, Portugal and Spain was on the political agenda, I argued that the inclusion of more Mediterranean countries would aggravate the impact of the CAP on global poverty because it would result in more subsidies for products like tomatoes and citrus fruit that are also produced by developing countries. And that's what has happened.

Working in the area of Dutch bi-lateral aid in the 1970’s, I was constantly confronted with the impact of our agriculture policies on the (lack of) success of “our” projects – and lots of Dutch aid at the time went to agriculture. A good example of that was a project in Tanzania to help increase local milk production. Although it was very successful in increasing productivity and had low costs, the Tanzanian farmers simply could not compete with cheap, subsidized Dutch milk powder – and that remains the case today. Another was an irrigation project to increase citrus fruit production in Egypt that although technically a success was hit by an EU trade agreement with Egypt that limited citrus exports to Europe.

These results have discouraged foreign investment in agriculture in developing countries, and have also contributed to the neglect of agriculture by the developing countries themselves who cannot match EU subsidies. The negative impact of Europe's trade policies on developing countries is often much greater than the positive impact of our aid. And the fact that these policies mostly are at odds with our development aid objectives means they undermine and even undo Europe’s development co-operation efforts.

This inconsistency between its aid and trade policies has been acknowledged by the EU since the Maastricht treaty in which it promised that “The Community shall take account of its development objectives in the policies it implements which are likely to affect developing countries.” Since then, European Council after European Council has repeated this commitment to ensuring that EU policies will support development objectives, and this principle is now enshrined in the Lisbon treaty.

But these pledges have not been translated into practice, because effective implementation mechanisms and genuine political commitment are both still lacking. Many member states tend to hide behind the Community competence on trade issues, while in fact only active national commitment is likely to bring about change at EU level.

Today, just as at the outset of this discussion more than two decades ago, the most blatant incoherence is with the EU's agriculture policy. But now the time seems more right than ever to put the CAP on the public agenda. European finance ministers faced with ballooning deficits will no longer be able to ignore the sacred cow that is the CAP. Europe’s taxpayers simply cannot afford business as usual when every year €57bn – more than 40% of the EU budget – is spent for the benefit of a few, and without creating much value for society as a whole.

Those who care about rural development, about climate change, about biodiversity and about the environment in general, are all urging CAP reform. A group of leading agricultural economists from all over Europe recently published a Declaration that proposes the abolition of market intervention and of blanket income support for farmers. Subsidies, they say, should instead be targeted at providing public goods that are of European interest, such as the fight against climate change and the preservation of biodiversity. And that's the sort of thinking that must guide the debate; public money should benefit public goods, the environment and equity at home.

But reforms also need to be helpful in reducing global poverty, which is a critical international public good. CAP reform needs to be consistent with the objectives of EU development policies, and many of the reforms proposed for the CAP would in fact be helpful from the standpoint of developing countries' farmers. The voice of development also needs to be raised, as did Franziska Keller MEP in the European Parliament last autumn, when she called “for the cessation of export subsidies irrespective of the successful conclusion of the Doha Round, to avoid dumping EU products on markets in developing countries and the economic loss that this generates”.

As the declaration of those leading agricultural economists put it: “The remaining elements of the CAP’s old market support mechanisms remain problematic for the EU’s trading partners (export subsidies on dairy products, and high import tariffs for example)." While development NGOs nowadays seem less vocal on this, perhaps because there has been some progress in the reform of the CAP, it has not been enough and the development angle is still as relevant as ever.

If I were a development minister today, I would still be quite hesitant to spend taxpayers’ money on the projects I've mentioned for improving dairy farmers' productivity in Africa and irrigation for Egyptian citrus fruit. I grant that, of late, export subsidies have been reduced and producer support has been increasingly decoupled from production, thus reducing incentives for Europe's farmers to grow more unwanted products. But very little progress has been made in reducing import barriers and expanding market access to developing countries’ producers. Dairy export subsidies were reintroduced in 2009, and the remaining supports, while not as distorting, still undermine developing countries’ efforts to increase agricultural investment and reduce rural poverty.

Many EU aid donors are more focused now than they were over the last decade on re-engaging in agricultural projects. The new Global Fund to boost food production and encourage good farming practices in the developing world has already received pledges for almost a billion dollars. And for the first time we can see South-South co-operation initiatives which might lead to a serious reduction of the trade barriers that developing countries impose on each other.

It is up to Europe to take action by reforming the CAP. The EU must ensure its agricultural policies and subsidies benefit our environment and those who need them at home in a way that doesn’t hurt developing countries. We need to make agricultural trade policies part of the broader relationship, not just with other countries but with the broader agenda of global poverty and the challenges to the environment.

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7 COMMENT(S)
  • Re:Saving the Millennium Development Goals means scrapping the CAP

I agree with the general framework you set out -that trade is crucial to the development of Developing Countries. This seems to be undeniable, and the only viable mechanism for developing countries to climb out of poverty in the coming generation. To employ so many people and provide an income for them, the only pool of wealth nearly large enough, is that which is involved in consumption in Developed countries.

However, i disagree that agriculture should be the primary focus of this trade liberalisation (and by liberalisation, I mean real liberalisation, without creating new asymmetries of trading partners). Agriculture is a tempting target, mostly because poorer developing countries already have functioning agricultural sectors, and these can be mobilised to export to the developed countries. However, beyond that agriculture is extremely limited as a source of development and will cause excessive problems inside the developed countries themselves.

Firstly, agriculture is limited because the market for food in developed countries is limited and is already saturated. There is a fairly fixed market for food consumption in developed countries, where despite our best efforts, we can only eat so much. Furthermore, these markets are already incapable of providing a livelihood for farmers in developed countries, and any increase in developing country imports will only aggravate this problem. Unlike industrial output, the size of the agricultural markey "pie" is fixed and therefore it is merely a matter of distributing a fixed amount of market access. Developing countries will not thrive in this environment, and indeed developed countries would be foolish to give away market share in a sector where the overall market size is fixed. There will also be a snob factor (not to be underestimated) where consumers will elect to buy food from well regulated, developed countries, rather than developing country producers.

Secondly, increasing agriculture as a share of developing countries' production is almost the opposite of development. Indeed, one could almost define development as industrialisation and the expansion of non-agricultural production. There is simply no way for agriculture to provide a livelihood for the billions of unemployed people across the developing countries, and the only chance for creating employment on the necessary scale is in the non-agricultural sectors -especially manufacturing. That is where the focus will be. It is a market with far greater scale, far easier for for a developing country to penetrate (China has shown what can be done here) and entails a diversification of economic production away from agriculture/subsistence and towards a more diversified, profitable and developed economy. That is the solution.

I particularly applaud the WTO's aid-for-trade initiative and would like to see the EU pump funds into something similar.

By paul tighe on 10/21/2010 17:51
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  • Re:Saving the Millennium Development Goals means scrapping the CAP

Eveline Herfkens unveils the incoherence and hypocrisy by the European Commission and EU member states of their agriculture and international development policies. In her timely advocacy piece she challenges the EU to honor its commitments and act on the pledges made. The time is right for reform, as high prices make Europe’s agriculture more competitive world-wide which reduces the need for subsidies and protection. The Doha trade round offers an opportunity for fundamental change and a win-win situation for Europe and developing countries. Genuine political commitment is called for.

But why are reforms so difficult? The article provides only limited insights and explanations. The European farm policy is twisted towards economic rents for agri-business, large farmers, and specialised constituencies. Within the EU its lobby has campaigned successfully while build on citizens’ fears, good feelings and nostalgic memories. Over time its arguments shifted from self-sufficiency advocacy and feeding the world to food quality and safety, environmental and lifestyle concerns.

Beyond Europe the interests of developing countries are often complex. Herfkens somewhat simplifies the relationship between agriculture and poverty reduction. She is mainly concerned with poor farmers in developing countries and their interests. In reality, developing countries are highly heterogeneous, with different farming structures and interests. Even a fundamental reform of the CAP is unlikely to automatically help the poor and lead to sustainable agriculture, there are winners and losers of the CAP among and within these countries. With a complex and selective system of EU preferences in place some third world farmers already gain from EU policies, in particular larger farmers. For instance, through the EU’s economic partnership agreements (EPAs). And there are also many consumers in developing countries that in the short-run clearly benefit from EU food subsidies and lower prices, including the poor. The EU preys on these factors that make coherent policy formulation and common positions by developing countries in international negotiations difficult.

The negotiating powers and capacities of many developing countries that trade with OECD countries are often weak, interests are heterogeneous, and negotiations are dominated by the most powerful. But if the poorest developing countries themselves are unable to push for meaningful reforms in the CAP and in global trade for their own farmers and sustainable solutions, who will?

Agricultural producers in developing countries expect future demand to come from their own growing middle-class and from renewable energy resources. These markets are large and growing fast. Even if EU access remains difficult for third world farmers, the EU should at least avoid to out-subsidise them on their own turf and to use bilateral EPAs for restricting South-South trade.

A recent joint evaluation by the multilateral African Development Bank (AfDB) and the UN International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD) of their operations in agriculture and rural development in Africa, called for a fairer international trade regime for agricultural commodities that would allow African farmers equal terms to trade with the rest of the world and prevent product dumping in Africa . In line with Herfken’s arguments the evaluation found that African farmers often cannot compete with subsidised imports that benefit African urban consumers at the expense of poorer rural producers. And African exporters still suffer from protection of farming in OECD countries that depress world market prices, for instance in cotton.

The evaluation recognises that a fairer trade regime will depend on the outcomes of international trade agreements more than the intentions and good-will of OECD countries. But the AfDB/IFAD evaluation also identified serious gaps in policy institutions and leadership, agriculture policy formulation and trade negotiations for much of Africa. It recommends systematic support for regional knowledge and capacity for Governments and Africa’s regional economic communities to engage in international trade negotiations and advocacy on issues affecting African farmers.

Mrs. Herfkens’ headline of scrapping the CAP may be far-reaching and overly optimistic but fundamental reform of the CAP remains an important imperative. Distortive world market effects of the CAP have to be eliminated allowing for a level playing field and better market access by third world farmers to Europe. But not at the expense of trade with third parties and South-South trade.

If Europe is serious about third world farmers, poverty reduction through agriculture and sustainable land management, it must help developing countries in the international trade arena, by providing more support for policy and negotiation capacity development, either directly to the countries or indirectly via international organisations, such as multilateral Banks, specialised NGOs or think tanks. Ensuring such support could truly empower developing country farmers.

While policy support will never give the same nice pictures for the occasional visiting Minister of Development Cooperation as posing with a farmer who bought five cows it makes for good policy to negotiate fairer and sustainable dairy market trade deals to increase developing countries’ capacity to respond to new market opportunities.

By Detlev Puetz on 12/7/2010 14:25
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  • And we also need a much fairer policymaking set-up that's open to all

The new millennium saw global leaders making a profound commitment to Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) that was fully in line with the new era and its aspirations. Seven of the eight MDGs specifically targeted social goals like reducing hunger and poverty, improving maternal and child health and improving access to education and environmental sustainability. Only MDG8 which calls for a “global partnership for development” gave any indication of how they intended to achieve these milestones.

I have a proposal: It is the creation of a global policy environment that would be accessible to all. And it is an objective that a reformed CAP would have to embrace. With only five years to go until the MDG deadline, the time has come to concentrate our efforts in areas where the poor and vulnerable can be reached. Eveline Herfkens identifies agriculture as a critical sector in this, and according to the World Bank agricultural growth is at least twice as effective a way of eliminating poverty as growth from any other sector. Yet a long history of inadequate and unreliable support for agricultural development has contributed to Africa’s farmers going from being net exporters of food in the 1960s to net importers today.

For the 60% of Africans who work in agriculture, gaining access to export markets is the beginning and end for improving their livelihoods. Access to modern agricultural tools, technologies and training enables them to boost their crop yields and enjoy food and nutrition security. It also means they can connect with both local and global markets so that the sale of their excess crops gives them the income they need to address the other MDG targets. This is all the more important given that it is women who are responsible for 80% of Africa’s food production.

African agriculture is poised to reclaim its place as breadbasket of the world. A recent McKinsey report forecast a more than three-fold rise in the continent’s agricultural output over the next 20 years, estimating a rise from $280bn a year now to $880bn by 2030.

African policymakers have been coming together to build local, national and regional strategies to support this potential growth. In 2003, the African Union launched the Comprehensive African Agricultural Development Programme (CAADP) as a flagship initiative to help African countries attain a higher path of economic growth through agriculture-led development. All African countries have agreed to work toward increasing public investment in agriculture to at least 10% of annual national budgets, with the aim of raising agricultural productivity by at least 6% annually. Twenty countries have to date identified policy priorities and have signed investment compacts with stakeholders.

Examples of Africans' progress in the farm sector don't stop there. My own organisation, the Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN), has been working in southern African to roll out the Harmonised Seed Security Programme (HaSSP) pilot project in four countries to create a more secure trading environment by eliminating trade barriers and streamlining regulatory procedures that hinder intra-regional movement of seed products. And on research and advocacy FANRPAN’s involvement with the Farming First coalition has with 130 supporting organisations provided a platform for presenting a shared voice on international policy issues. And our involvement with the Forum for Agricultural Research in Africa (FARA) is helping improve agricultural research on crops grown chiefly in Africa.

My plea – and here I wholly support Eveline Herfkens – is that CAP reform should be based on justice and reason rather than on compassion or emotions alone. Achieving and sustaining the “beautiful pledges” of the MDGs is going to need strong international partnerships, greatly improved local capacities and, above all, truly global markets.

By Lindiwe Majele Sibanda on 12/7/2010 14:49
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  • Re:Saving the Millennium Development Goals means scrapping the CAP

You are right!

By James Nick on 5/14/2011 09:27
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  • Re:Saving the Millennium Development Goals means scrapping the CAP

There are regular contents with exceptional outlook. thanks for this nice insight.

By Anthony Garcia on 6/23/2011 04:56
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  • Re:Saving the Millennium Development Goals means scrapping the CAP

great.

By Cindy Jackson on 6/30/2011 13:18
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  • Re:Saving the Millennium Development Goals means scrapping the CAP

I agree

By Rosalie Johnson on 1/4/2012 16:19
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