Employment Week 2010
INTERNATIONAL

Let's use this crisis to re-think global governance

Autumn 2009
There’s a growing consensus that global problems ranging from recession to climate change require an internationally-agreed response. Anna Diamantopoulou, a former EU social affairs Commissioner, sets out her seven-point agenda for change
The recession and climate change are truly global crises and therefore international challenges that raise important questions: how to create a sustainable system that can reconcile the regulation of global finance with protection of the weaker segments in our societies, and at the same time produce a sustained effort to combat climate change.

It is increasingly clear that half measures will not be enough. Yet if the right ideas prevail, our world could become a better, fairer and more sustainable place where rights and obligations are properly matched. We know that we need the comprehensive reform of policies, attitudes and institutions, and we also know that this can only be achieved through international agreements.

 MATTERS OF OPINION


Worst of jobs crisis yet to come  

Over a third of people in Europe know someone close to them – a relative, close friend or family member – who has lost their job as a result of the economic crisis, according to a Eurobarometer survey conducted in June 2009. Over 60% of Latvians reported that this was the case, the highest of any country.

More than six in ten European citizens also believe that the worst of the crisis is yet to come, in terms of its impact on the employment market. The Baltic countries were most pessimistic on this score. The optimists, who believe the impact of the crisis on jobs has already reached its peak, numbered fewer than three in ten across the whole EU (28%).

When asked about the role of the EU in employment and social policies, a broad majority people thought that its impact had been positive in a number of areas, most notably in improving access to education and training, and promoting gender equality. 



Eurobarometer 

The EU’s ability to play a leading role within this sort of framework is hampered by its own inadequate institutional structure, weak decision-making, an absence of effective leadership and a political balance that at present favours the more conservative approaches. Europe is at a crossroads where it must decide whether it will evolve into an increasingly political entity of the willing-and-able or regressing into being no more than a collection of agreed-upon in broader economic policies. The regulation of a new global financial architecture, the protection of the weaker elements in our economies and societies and a sustained effort to combat climate change all strike me as better served the former rather than the latter. 

The EU’s reactions since the outset of the current economic turmoil can best be summarised as coordinated rather than unitary. But this need not necessarily have been the case. The EU has a reliable institutional instrument in the European Central Bank and the relative stability of the eurozone. It also has a well-balanced competition policy, even though that is now being eroded, with unpredictable consequences. What it lacks, though, are the institutional strengths to put into effect a successful European level policy mix. Monetary policy within the eurozone may be unitary in its design and implementation, but economic policy is too limited and the budget too narrow for it to be effective. In truth, an EU budget does not really exist, because the EU’s inability to raise taxes makes its budget more of a fund, and a rather small one at that.

These institutional weaknesses are in fact political weaknesses, and when in a crisis intervention and public investment is called for, political weaknesses turn into economic weaknesses. The result is a Europe with neither the institutional ability nor the political will to design and implement a collective political response: A Europe whose national governments are perhaps understandably, reticent to transfer more powers to the European level ultimately means a weaker Europe.

What we need is a more political Europe which will emphasise growth, employment, the provision of public goods and the redistribution of wealth. A strong Europe capable of designing a new growth cycle through policies aimed at the real economy within a global implementation framework; an inspiring Europe that is capable of having a positive effect on global developments.

To achieve this, policymakers in Europe need to consider the following points:

  • Monetary Union is no longer enough. We need to significantly improve the coordination of Europe’s national economies. A necessary first step concerns tax systems, for how can we continue to accept tax competition between EU countries when the first victim is social policy? If an EU country sets a zero rate on investment it will attract mobile foreign investment but it will of course lose on tax receipts. Tax revenues elsewhere will also be reduced because investments will be withdrawn. And lower tax receipts mean less social spending all round. Tax rate competition is a downward spiral which inevitably leads to further spending cuts, and it’s not something the EU can afford. 

  • A financial supervisory and regulatory framework at the EU level is urgently needed because national authorities throughout Europe are clearly no longer capable of effective oversight when banks operate not only across the EU, but globally. 

  • The EU’s Stability and Growth Pact must focus on growth, even though this may mean a re-interpretation of what “growth” actually means. Just as we now focus on obligations regarding such indicators as national debt, deficits and so on, and maintain a good deal of wishful thinking over the Lisbon Agenda's targets, I believe we should also place obligations, and strict ones at that, on the growth aspects of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP). That would mean binding national budget commitments as a percentage of GDP for research, innovation and education because they are key parameters for a globally competitive economy.

The SGP cannot continue to view deficits based solely on dogmatic opposition to them; short-term deficits can have positive effects, particularly during a recession, while the long-term consequences are largely the result of how the money is spent. Borrowing for productive investments does not make us poorer because it can head-off expensive future problems. So we shouldn’t just be focussing on eradicating deficits, but rather on ensuring that these deficits will have a positive economic impact. Deficits should: 

      • Promote investment, not consumption, 
      • Be based on a long-term investment strategy and payment plan, 
      • Be matched by reliable political guarantees, 
      • Increase productive capacity so that their cost as a percentage of GDP is reduced, 
      • Increase future tax receipts through an overall increase of wealth. 
      • Α European Investment Plan must be a priority. European funding of national investment plans is no longer enough, so we need an EU investment plan for transport, telecommunications and energy networks, for higher education and the promotion of inter-university cooperation and for scientific exchanges and research. A truly united Europe needs not just physical infrastructures but also a common intellectual, scientific and innovation base.

  • A genuine implementation of flexicurity. Combining flexibility and security has really been successfully implemented only in Scandinavia, and has been a failure elsewhere. Employers have focused on flexibility and largely ignored security. In much the same way lack of public enthusiasm for the EU has stemmed from the way people have been asked to make much greater sacrifices than has business. The Party of European Socialists’ proposals for a new Employment Pact in conjunction with a Pact for Social Progress could form the basis for a new agreement that is productive, socially just and economically viable. 

  • Stronger European leadership. It is no secret that the EU project’s progress reflects the quality, persistence and vision of its leadership, and that right now truly pro-European politicians are in short supply. The European Commission’s current weakness is also illustrated by the way it has become a follower of choices made by EU heads of government, without an agenda of its own. There is, too, a general mood of “euro-reluctance” in European politics that has been hampering the EU’s responses to pressing global problems. 

  • A global grid for growth and social justice. We need to move towards a new global governance architecture that is not limited either to general principles or the oversight of financial mechanisms. Global institutions must be strengthened through a network of new rules and responsibilities. Political actors must start to promote the importance of much greater cooperation between the ILO, WTO, World Bank, IMF and the UN’s environmental agency. Membership of these bodies must be accompanied by globally binding standards and material consequences for countries failing to fulfil them. We need a comprehensive linkage of rights and obligations for full participation in the global community, and this mechanism would also coordinate efforts to meet overseas aid targets, provide funding in poorer regions to tackle climate change and help with liquidity for emerging economies.

Membership must be rules-based to promote the positive forces of globalisation, with well-regulated free markets and quality public goods. We need a new strategic and long-term regulatory framework for financial services which includes transparency and a balancing of risk and accountability. I would also propose a 0.1% Tobin Tax on all capital transactions, to support the world’s poor along the lines put forward back in 2001 by the Belgian EU presidency and more recently by Lord Turner chairman of the UK Financial Services Authority.

These global rules must also promote social justice and agreed minimum standards. The ILO’s standards could provide a good starting point for eliminating forced labour and the harshest forms of child labour, finally ending workplace discrimination and promoting worldwide the right of workers to be represented. At the same time, global environmental rules must be based on the highest possible levels of protection, and a “Copenhagen Protocol” based on the European Union’s position in the international climate change conference would show a political willingness to meet the challenges.

What we need, in short, is a global institutional grid for growth and social justice encompassing three main parameters: the economy, social justice and environmental progress. The points I've touched on here could form the basis for a new approach to global politics in the 21st century. If it were to do so, future historians might identify today’s economic crisis as the point at which different policies and approaches began to strengthen humanity’s capacity for improvement and to herald a new and more equitable period of growth. The real opportunity behind the crisis lies in politicians’ ability to begin changing things for the better by combining vision with concrete steps to produce growth and social justice, and by presenting these in ways that inspire the people of Europe.


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4 COMMENT(S)
  • Re:Let's use this crisis to re-think global governance

For a Greek, your manifesto is grandiose. There is a lot in it which one can sympathize with and support.
However, I've the feeling that after we enacted Maastricht Treaty and successfully introduced Euro, as our common currency, the political leadership went to sleep or didn't recognize that the opportunity cost of doing nothing was not only going to give rise to *reaction* but also create asymmetric developments - what we got now with expanded EU-27. It's non-governable from the centre. Has no common political perspective of its own; and lacks critical leadership in the mold of another Delor.

The idea of Blair as new President tells the tale of the direction under Lisbon Treaty. Recall Borosso was a Maoist leader-as a student...before he ventured into the *axis of evil* with GWB and Blair's fradulent invasion of Iraq. Blair chose and pushed Borosso on to Brussels beause he refused to accept ex-Belgian PM (Socialist).

Since de Gaulle and Adenauer, we don't have visionary leaders. Merkel and Sarkosy are mediocre at best on the right. On the left there is hardly anyone with charisma and intellectual capacity to provide collective leadership in Brussels.

So, we shall have to accept mediocrity and opt out clauses and somehow zig zag thru - even if Klaus doesn't sign up on Lisbon Treaty because of Benes Degrees of yester-years Sudetenland!

By Hari Naidu on 10/13/2009 22:45
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  • Re:What about the major re-think of global governance after WW2?

You are right to emphasize that global problems require global solutions -- but how ? The crisis after World War 2 was even greater than that today. It was not only financial, monetary, trade, unemployment and production but the world faced all this plus atomic destruction involving what Robert Schuman called World Suicide -- See his speech of May 1949 www.schuman.info/Strasbour549.htm. That was a year before the French government announced the Schuman Plan for the European Community but Schuman already proposed there a suprantionational Eurpean Community. He did not propose a European government -- he said that was unrealistic and a utopia -- but a sectoral approach.

Today the Climate problem requires a world sectoral approach -- with the effectiveness and democracy of the original Community -- not what we have today in the EU. That was grossly dixtorted by de Gaulle. His leadershi0p, with Adenauer in tow, was not "strong" because it did not have the consensus either of the French or of the European population in general who were never asked their opinion. De Gaulle "chloroformed" the five Community institutions (eg he stopped direct elections to Parlaiment and ignored any resolutions or Opinions of Civil Society Consultative Committees such as EcoSoc, and the STC) so that the French could lead the Council by the nose and implement a France-friendly policy of agricultural surplus meat mountains and wine lakes -- all in order to get him votes at home.

The key to getting a consensus is to use the institutions as they were intended. You say that:
" The European Commission’s current weakness is also illustrated by the way it has become a follower of choices made by EU heads of government, without an agenda of its own." That is the principal weakness of the deterioration since de Gaulle -- http:.democracy.blogactiv.eu . The Commission should be in permanent dialogue with a fully representative EcoSoc -- representing, -- that is being elected by -- the producer companies, workers and consumers in society as the treaties say.

To solve the most pressing problem of the world -- the destruction of the habitable world by climate change --requires a sectoral system for the globe but one that entaills a fair burden on each person, corporation and State with a legal system that is fair and seen to be fair by all. At the moment some oil-producing States do not even recognize we are in a life and death struggle for the planet.

Schuman recognized -- as did the postwar leaders in some of the greatest debates on these problems -- that we are all in a sinking boat together and that it was of little use to allow some to continue to drill holes in the boat while others were bailing out the water as fast as they could.

By David Price on 10/16/2009 11:52
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  • Re:Let's use this crisis to re-think global governance

I think that also important is to re-think about citizens' participation in defining the ways that we should re-think about Europe, global governance and the crisis itself. In that respect i would think that education should be considered as a fourth parameter. More particularly i think that we should start thinking of citizenship education not as a training process for (European, Global, Democratic, National etc.) citizenship but as a forum for critical evaluation of the ways that the three parameters (and education itself) operate.
I am sceptical about whether any of the suggestions above could be effective if they are not based on an inclusive, critical and democratic educative process.

By Michalis Kakos on 10/20/2009 17:32
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  • Re:Let's use this crisis to re-think global governance

Talking about "how to save us from crises" covers problems on taking concrete actions..

Writing one page of "heavy" thoughts takes about 1 hour, perhaps more but has no risk.

Deciding takes one second but bears risk (and this is hard).

Before teaching how to save the planet let us know how to save our own house.

By kallistratos dionelis on 1/29/2010 14:58
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The Summer 2010 issue of Europe's World looks at a number of policy areas where that lesson must be borne firmly in mind by today's decisionmakers. The global economic recession has laid bare a range of issues that need to be addressed very promptly before they develop further and become difficulties of a very different magnitude. It has also accentuated long-term trends to which Europe has so far failed to respond.

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