On June 6, in Washington, US
Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton replied: “Our position is wait
and see.” She insisted on the necessity of well-preparedness on the
issue, which is also the position of the Israeli prime minister,
Benjamin Netanyahu.
In Paris, some observers said Mr. Juppé was “too fast” and even
“counter-productive” with the proposal, although he was well
intentioned.
According to Le Point, Mr. Juppé has declared to Salam Fayyad that “the
status quo between Israel and the Palestinian Authority is no longer
tenable. We are convinced that if nothing happens by the month of
September, the situation will be very difficult for everyone at the
meeting of the UN General Assembly.” The French foreign minister wished
for a resumption of talks on the basis of proposals by US President
Barack Obama, a dialogue that would concentrate on border issues and
security based on the 1967’s pre-war borders. Status issues of Jerusalem
and the right of return of Palestinian refugees would be delayed for a
year.
Thus, Mr. Juppé has based his conference proposal on the parameters
defined by President Obama, without paying more attention to the
rejection of the same speech by the Israeli government.
Nevertheless, the official position of French diplomacy, though
criticized, is well grounded and supported by the political elite. On
June 15, the French Socialist Party issued a statement saying:
“The Israeli-Palestinian conflict imbues the Middle East in blood for
too long. It destabilizes the region and feeds extremism far beyond any
limits. The Socialist Party believes that France and Europe must without
waiting anymore, primarily work toward a just, comprehensive and
lasting peace solution, in this region of the world. The annual session
of the UN General Assembly in next September should be a milestone.”
The statement adds: The Socialist Party calls “France to recognize the
Palestinian state and make every possible effort so that the European
Union supports this recognition at the upcoming UN General Assembly. It
is a decisive step to make real the peaceful coexistence of two states,
Israeli and Palestinian and the reconciliation of their peoples. The
international community should convene as soon as possible a peace
conference on the Middle East to set the parameters of the peace
agreement between Israel and Palestine and the commitments of the
international community on security, economic assistance and cooperation
with the region.”
This is surely an important evolution in the positions of the Socialists
regarding this conflict. Apparently, in issuing their statement, they
choose to be pro-active, instead of the American “wait and see” stance.
And most importantly, in the aftermath of the Quai d’Orsay’s recent
setback, no mean political calculations as to how this position would be
interpreted, entered in consideration. Although the Socialists are in
the opposition, they would not relinquish the international scene on
such an important upcoming event (the UN debate on the eventual
recognition of the Palestinian statehood) and leave it to the Right.
That is the meaning of their recent stance.
Regarding the Palestinian problem, we may now speak of the existence of a
consensus among the French elite. The two major political blocs of the
country (UMP and PS) seem agreeing on the necessity to support a peace
solution based on the 1967 pre-war borders. We can also predict a
supportive stance for the Palestinian demand of statehood in next
September.
Although the special envoy of the Quartet (UN, EU, USA, Russia) Tony
Blair has recently given support to the French initiative and so did the
UN Secretary General who assured Mr. Juppé that “his initiative was in
the right direction,” it is still difficult to imagine such a meeting in
Paris much before the end of July.
Mr. Obama’s position, which is both pragmatic and foresees a fair
solution to the conflict, has not been particularly welcome in Israel.
Mr. Netanyahu rejected the principles of the US proposal last month in
front of the United States Congress, which gave him multiple standing
ovations for his toughness. The Obama Administration, whose last attempt
to forge a successful peace accord broke down after a measly three
weeks last September, has essentially run out of options. And with
President Obama’s re-election bid to kick off next year, it is almost a
given that the White House will avoid pressuring the Israelis to make
any more concessions.
In order to avert a potentially explosive dispute at the UN in
September, EU Foreign Affairs chief Catherine Ashton has launched a bold
initiative. The EU official in a letter over the weekend said the
Quartet should hold a high-level meeting before the summer which spells
out that Israel must pull back to its 1967 borders in return for
security guarantees from the Palestinian side.
Ms. Ashton's letter -- addressed to UN chief Ban Ki-moon, Secretary
Clinton and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, and published by the
Israeli daily Haaretz -- says: “I believe that what is needed now is a
clear signal to the parties, and a reference framework that should
enable them to return to the negotiating table.”
It adds that the Arab Spring “makes it even more urgent to find a lasting solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.”
“This is no time for unilateral moves on either side, since this could
lead to escalation ... It is critical we make a gesture before the
summer, because we need to contribute to a calming of a volatile
situation that promises to be even more so as the year progresses,” she
said.
Obviously, this letter strengthens the French position and may foretell a
European supportive consensus to the right of statehood so far denied
to the Palestinians.
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