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The Doha Round: “Death-Defying Agenda” or “Don’t Do it Again”?

08/10/2009
Author : European Centre for International Political Economy (ECIPE - Belgium)
By Stuart Harbinson
 
Almost eight years after the launch of the Doha Round, the WTO negotiations remain mired in a swamp of detail, with many participants unwilling or unable to make the hard decisions which would bring the Round to a conclusion. Meanwhile, the world has changed dramatically with the onset of a global economic crisis of proportions seldom, if ever, seen before. This has radically changed the context within which the Round is placed and may lead to fundamental rethinking of its future.

This paper examines the origins of the Round and concludes that, at the time, its launch was well-founded. It traces the twists and turns in the negotiations since then and finds that, while progress has been incremental, it has also been painfully slow. Decisive action has been avoided. It addresses three issues: whether, in current economic circumstances and given the long but inconclusive history of the negotiations, it is important to complete the Doha Round and if so, how this could be achieved; whether there are alternative approaches to WTO negotiations that could be explored for the future; and what a future negotiating agenda might look like. It concludes with some reflections on the prospects for the WTO at the present juncture in its short history.

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1 COMMENT(S)
  • Re:The Doha Round: “Death-Defying Agenda” or “Don’t Do it Again”?

Good summary, which however fails to deal with the question of fairness. This point is dismissed by stating that the developing countries would stand most to lose from a failure to conclude the Doha Round. But is this so? Nobel Prize winner Joseph Stigliz rightly concludes his book "Fair Trade for All" as follows:
"Adjustment to a post-Doha trading regime will be disproportionately costly and difficult for developing countries because of the loss of preference margins, the loss of revenue from trade taxes, institutional weaknesses including the absence of adequate safety nets, large implementation costs, lack of finance required to restructure the economy, and the limited ability of poor populations to manage short-term unemployment......In the absence of a significant increase in international assistance, responsibility for these (adjustment) policies will fall on resource constrained domestic governments, and trade reform (if it is pursued at all) will come at the expense of other development policies. As a result, even a development-oriented round of liberalization may fail to produce the growth benefits promised by the advocates of a new trade agreement." The mistake was to call Doha a Round that would cater for the interests of developing countries without doing so. If one cannot change course, the Round deserves to fail.

By Corrado Pirzio-Biroli on 10/10/2009 13:50
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