The latest Research Paper by the NATO Defense College, NATO's Nuclear Weapons in Europe: Beyond "Yes" or
"No", takes up the nuclear discussions of the recent months and reaches
the following conclusions which are valid for NATO's new Strategic Concept.
NATO still has US nuclear bombs (Type B-61) stationed in Europe
which, together with the fighter-bombers operated by the European allies,
constitute NATO’s nuclear force. The number of bombs has been reduced to a
minimum. Still there are occasional requests for their complete withdrawal.
Nuclear weapons remain a factor in international relations,
however NATO’s nuclear forces in their present form are no longer suited to
credibly underpin nuclear deterrence in the security environment of the 21st
century.
NATO faces the problem of (rightly) sticking to the concept of
nuclear deterrence without having a cohesive strategy or a consistent nuclear
posture at hand.
Withdrawing these weapons immediately is not an option as there is
no agreement in NATO regarding such a step. And it might be unwise to launch a
debate on withdrawal at a time when there is already an ongoing discussion on
NATO's reassurance capabilities and on Alliance solidarity.
Since this contradictory situation could hardly be solved at the
NATO summit in Lisbon, as the nuclear issue could only be discussed in a very
generic manner, after the summit, NATO should initiate a serious debate on the
future of its nuclear weapons, answering the question of HOW to deter WHO with
WHAT.
Developing a new nuclear consensus in NATO will require time.
Until such time as the Alliance can conceive of and agree on a new nuclear
concept, nuclear bombs could remain in their current locations. But in the long
run, their removal is inevitable.
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